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NFL playoff teams: Success at home and on the field

 
 

San francisco

It’s that time again--the start of a new year, snow storms, colder temperatures and the NFL playoffs. To put the U.S. real estate market in sporting terms, the past few years have been “rebuilding” years. We’ve come off the bottom and continue to add pieces and supports to help us get back to our winning ways.

This year’s playoff teams are from a very diverse group of housing markets. The playoff teams reside on the East Coast, the West Coast, the South and the Midwest. They come from expensive markets and very affordable markets. But is there any relation between home prices, mortgage rates, homeownership rates and success in the NFL?

Not really, but we thought it would be fun to examine the characteristics of the housing markets of this year’s NFL playoff teams.

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Wild Card Round - Winning Team Colored
 
Philadelphia Matchup New Orleans   Green Bay Matchup San Francisco  
$ 231,600 Median Home Price 162,500   $ 211,800 Median Home Price $ 705,000  
4.56 Mortgage Rate 4.70   4.60 Mortgage Rate 4.68  
69.3 Homeownership Rate 62.3   57.9 Homeownership Rate 55.1  
5.70 Foreclosure Rate 4.70   4.4 Foreclosure Rate 2.3  
               
Cincinnati Matchup San Diego   Indianapolis Matchup Kansas City  
$ 142,100 Median Home Price 485,000   $ 143,500 Median Home Price $ 162,300  
4.66 Mortgage Rate 4.66   4.67 Mortgage Rate 4.56  
64 Homeownership Rate 53.9   67.4 Homeownership Rate 65  
4.9 Foreclosure Rate 2.4   4.9 Foreclosure Rate 3.1  
After the Wild Card Round, teams in cities with the higher mortgage rate went 4-0.
*Cincinnati and San Diego have the same mortgage rate
Divisional Round
 
New Orleans Matchup Seattle   San Francisco Matchup Carolina  
4.70 Mortgage Rate 4.71   4.68 Mortgage Rate 4.54  
 
San Diego Matchup Denver   Indianapolis Matchup New England  
4.66 Mortgage Rate 4.64    4.67 Mortgage Rate 4.57  

New Orleans won’t be able to handle the Seattle weather and their fans. San Diego will defeat Denver for a second time. San Francisco will sneak by Carolina's tough defense. Indianapolis takes the last name of their quarterback and will run with it.

Championship Round - based on projections
 
San Francisco Matchup Seattle   San Diego Matchup Indianapolis  
4.68 Mortgage Rate 4.71   4.66 Mortgage Rate 4.67  
 Seattle is just too good and their fans are just too loud. Indianapolis's "Luck" won't run out just yet.
Super Bowl - based on projections
 
Indianapolis Matchup Seattle          
4.67 Mortgage Rate 4.71          
 Favorites since the start of the year, the Seattle Seahawks will be Super Bowl champions.