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Is home affordability starting to improve? It just might be. See the analysis portion of our latest "Income you need to buy a home in the top 50 metro housing markets".

Is home affordability starting to improve? It just might be. See the analysis portion of our latest "Income you need to buy a home in the top 50 metro housing markets".

Today's Mortgage Rates - 08/28/2025

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Rates Edge Lower

Mortgage rates eked out a small decline this week, remaining at a 10-month low.

Freddie Mac reported today that the average offered interest rate for a conforming 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) fell by two basis points (0.02%), landing at 6.56%, as low as this average has been since the week of October 24, 2024.

Average offered rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages held steady this week at 5.69%. The current average matches the same 10-month low level as its longer-term counterpart.

An alternative to the 30-year fixed rate mortgage, the average offered rate for a 5-year hybrid ARMs eased a bit more than its fixed-rate counterparts. The Mortgage Bankers Association said that the initial fixed interest rate on a hybrid 5-year ARM decreased by seven basis points (0.07%) to 5.94%,

Currently, a 5/1 ARM might offer a homebuyer a lower-cost alternative to a long-term fixed-rate mortgage, although the difference in rate between 30-year FRMs and 5-year hybrid ARMs only widened modestly this week. With the change in rates, the gap in rate compared to a 30-year FRM is now 62 basis points (0.62%). Comparing this average rate against one for a 30-year FRM, a homebuyer with a $300,000 loan amount who selects the 5-year ARM would have a monthly payment that is $120.96 lower, will spend $9,328 less in interest cost and pay off an additional $2,071 in principal over the first five years of the loan compared to a 30-year fixed rate loan.

ARMs aren't for everybody, though. To help decide whether one might work for you, read HSH's Comprehensive Guide to Adjustable Rate Mortgages.

Mortgage rates settled to about 10 months lows in recent weeks based upon a disappointing labor report for July and significant downward revisions to hiring estimate for June and May. With expectations that the Fed would soon be trimming short-term interest rates on the rise, all eyes turned toward a a speech last Friday by Fed Chair Powell at an annual economics symposium. Last year, Mr. Powell's speech in Jackson Hole, WY laid the groundwork for a rate cut at the Fed's September meeting, and the FOMC voted to reduce the federal funds rate by a larger-than-normal half percentage point at that time. In the weeks between the speech and the FOMC meeting, 30-year mortgage rates declined about a quarter of a percentage point.

This year's speech did set expectations for a rate cut, but was considerably more cautious in setting those expectations. Mr. Powell noted that "risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, and risks to employment to the downside," and went on to say only that "the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance," Revealing the Fed's thinking, he also said that "the stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance." This suggests that the Fed is likely prepared to cut rates by a quarter percentage point next month, but that investors shouldn't expect a string of repeats unless labor conditions suddenly worsen.

In response to his words, investor moods were buoyed, and stock markets rallied strongly. However, the bond market reaction was more muted, and there has been little follow-through in the modest improvement in bond yields this week. As such, we don't expect to see much movement in rates over the next few days. After that, a string of fresh labor-market data will dictate where they go from here.

Each week in HSH's MarketTrends newsletter, we track and discuss economic conditions that affect mortgage rates and their impact on housing markets and consumers. Read the most recent edition of MarketTrends or subscribe for email delivery.

Week 30-year-Fixed 15-year-Fixed
08/28 6.560% 5.690%
08/21 6.580% 5.690%
08/14 6.580% 5.710%
08/07 6.630% 5.750%
07/31 6.720% 5.850%
07/24 6.740% 5.870%
07/17 6.750% 5.920%
07/10 6.720% 5.860%
07/03 6.670% 5.800%
06/26 6.770% 5.890%
06/18 6.810% 5.960%
06/12 6.840% 5.970%

Mortgage Choices at a Glance

Loan type/terms Fixed 30 years Fixed 15 years/
20 Years
Hybrid ARM Traditional ARM Balloon Mortgage
Rate changes
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Usually after fixed period of 3, 5, 7 or 10 years
  • After that, annual change typical
  • Fully variable
  • Typically changing at one-year intervals
  • Some have shorter change intervals
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
Benefits
  • Low, stable payment
  • Usually easiest qualification
  • Stable payments
  • Builds equity faster
  • Lower total interest costs than 30-year term
  • Lower rates than fully fixed-rate mortgage
  • Can sometimes borrow larger loan amount for same income
  • Can have lowest interest rates
  • Qualification may not depend upon today's interest rate
  • Often has lower interest rate/monthly payment over balloon period than fixed rate
  • Similar to hybrid ARM
Drawbacks/Risks
  • Can have highest total interest cost over time
  • User may "buy" more rate stability than actually needed, increasing cost
  • Requires higher income to qualify
  • Less affordable monthly payment
  • Funds commited to payment cannot be used elsewhere
  • Stable payment for a number of years, then unpredictable
  • Rates can jump by as much as 6 percentage points at first adjustment
  • Payments fluctuate at each rate change
  • Unpredictable, rates can change as much as 2 percentage points at each adjustment
  • Loan fully due and payable when balloon period ends
  • Must be paid off or refinanced in unknown market conditions
Alternative strategy
  • Consider Hybrid ARM with appropriate fixed period
  • Consider 30-year term and prepaying loan to preserve cash-flow flexibility
  • Consider Fixed rate mortgage or longest possible fixed period, if loan hold period not known
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ameliorate rate and payment risks for a given period
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ensure continued loan availability
These may be useful for...
  • Purchasing a home
  • First-time homebuyers
  • Refinancing to improve cash flow/lower payment
  • Refinancing to lower total interest cost
  • Retiring mortgage more quickly
  • Building or rebuilding equity more quickly
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is seven years or shorter, and where borrower can handle increase in monthly payments
  • Purchasing or refinancing when interest rates are near top of cycle, and are likely to fall, or sale or refinance is anticipated within three years
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is three years or longer and home will be sold prior to end of balloon period
Consider if
  • Buying or refinancing a home and planning on owning for longer than 10 years
  • Buying second home
  • Refinancing to build equity
  • Paying off mortgage before life event (retirement, etc)
  • Buying a home and expect to move before fixed period ends, or know income will rise to offset payment risk, even in worst-case scenario
  • Buying or refinancing when income can handle frequent payment changes and worst-case scenario for rates over a four-year period
  • Buying a home and expect to move before balloon period ends, or have resources to pay off mortgage if refinance not available
When shopping, ask about
  • "Full cost" vs. "No cost" refinances, prepaying loan to shorten term if desired
  • If 20-year term makes payment too high, whether 25-year term is available
  • Interest rate caps, for first and subsequent adjustments, worst-case scenario
  • A history of the Index the loan is keyed off, margin and caps
  • Whether or not there is any built-in refinancing option when the balloon period ends
Useful tools & resources

Latest Mortgage Rate Analysis

HSH's longer-range outlook for mortgage rates, where we review our last forecast,discuss current market influences and provide our expectations for mortgage rates over the next nine weeks.

Mortgage Calculators

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