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Seasonal home affordability gains faded again to start 2025. See our latest update of "The income you need to buy a home in the top 50 metro housing markets".

Seasonal home affordability gains faded again to start 2025. See our latest update of "The income you need to buy a home in the top 50 metro housing markets".

Today's Mortgage Rates - 05/30/2025

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Rates Still Ticking Higher

Mortgage rates ticked higher again this week, but it appears as though the rise has stalled for now.

As reported by Freddie Mac today, the average offered interest rate for a conforming 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) increased by another three basis points (0.03%) to 6.89%, a 16-week high. Rates haven't moved all that far in recent weeks (or this year, for that matter), but given current level, any increase is unwelcome.

Average offered rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages saw a slightly smaller increase, posting a two basis point (0.02%) rise. This left the most popular shorter-term mortgage at a rate of 6.03%, a mark last seen in mid-April.

At present, a 5/1 ARM might offer a homebuyer a lower-cost alternative to a long-term fixed-rate mortgage, although the difference in rate between 30-year FRMs and 5-year hybrid ARMs shrank again this week. The Mortgage Bankers Association said that the initial fixed interest rate on a hybrid 5-year ARM rose by six more basis points (0.06%) to 6.22%, leaving the gap in rate compared to a 30-year FRM at sixty-seven basis points (0.67%). On a $300,000 mortgage, a borrower using this ARM would see a $132 lower payment per month and would save just over $10,000 in interest cost over the first five years of the loan.

Amid considerable uncertainty regarding tariffs and trade policies and their effect on inflation, mortgage and other interest rates have risen over much of the spring. This has damped sales of existing homes, the largest component of the housing market, and prospects for a near-term boost for the housing market aren't very good as housing affordability challenges remain considerable.

Conversely, sales of new homes have been doing fairly well, boosted by plenty of inventory, stable-if-not-lower prices and builder incentives. We discuss the state of the spring housing market in this week's MarketTrends newsletter.

An update to first quarter GDP on Thursday showed a still sub-par pace of growth in the first quarter, largely due to advance ordering of imported goods to beat the imposition of new tariffs. Since then, the picture for new or expanded levies seems to be getting more murky, and at least for the moment, slack GDP and perhaps few or lesser duties seem to have allowed interest rates to ease just a little. Mortgage rates should follow in the coming few days with a small slip of their own.

Each week in HSH's MarketTrends newsletter, we track and discuss economic conditions that affect mortgage rates and their impact on housing markets and consumers. Read the most recent edition of MarketTrends or subscribe for email delivery.

Week 30-year-Fixed 15-year-Fixed
05/29 6.890% 6.030%
05/22 6.860% 6.010%
05/15 6.810% 5.920%
05/08 6.760% 5.890%
05/01 6.760% 5.920%
04/24 6.810% 5.940%
04/17 6.830% 6.030%
04/10 6.620% 5.820%
04/03 6.640% 5.820%
03/27 6.650% 5.890%
03/20 6.670% 5.830%
03/13 6.650% 5.800%

Mortgage Choices at a Glance

Loan type/terms Fixed 30 years Fixed 15 years/
20 Years
Hybrid ARM Traditional ARM Balloon Mortgage
Rate changes
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Usually after fixed period of 3, 5, 7 or 10 years
  • After that, annual change typical
  • Fully variable
  • Typically changing at one-year intervals
  • Some have shorter change intervals
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
Benefits
  • Low, stable payment
  • Usually easiest qualification
  • Stable payments
  • Builds equity faster
  • Lower total interest costs than 30-year term
  • Lower rates than fully fixed-rate mortgage
  • Can sometimes borrow larger loan amount for same income
  • Can have lowest interest rates
  • Qualification may not depend upon today's interest rate
  • Often has lower interest rate/monthly payment over balloon period than fixed rate
  • Similar to hybrid ARM
Drawbacks/Risks
  • Can have highest total interest cost over time
  • User may "buy" more rate stability than actually needed, increasing cost
  • Requires higher income to qualify
  • Less affordable monthly payment
  • Funds commited to payment cannot be used elsewhere
  • Stable payment for a number of years, then unpredictable
  • Rates can jump by as much as 6 percentage points at first adjustment
  • Payments fluctuate at each rate change
  • Unpredictable, rates can change as much as 2 percentage points at each adjustment
  • Loan fully due and payable when balloon period ends
  • Must be paid off or refinanced in unknown market conditions
Alternative strategy
  • Consider Hybrid ARM with appropriate fixed period
  • Consider 30-year term and prepaying loan to preserve cash-flow flexibility
  • Consider Fixed rate mortgage or longest possible fixed period, if loan hold period not known
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ameliorate rate and payment risks for a given period
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ensure continued loan availability
These may be useful for...
  • Purchasing a home
  • First-time homebuyers
  • Refinancing to improve cash flow/lower payment
  • Refinancing to lower total interest cost
  • Retiring mortgage more quickly
  • Building or rebuilding equity more quickly
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is seven years or shorter, and where borrower can handle increase in monthly payments
  • Purchasing or refinancing when interest rates are near top of cycle, and are likely to fall, or sale or refinance is anticipated within three years
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is three years or longer and home will be sold prior to end of balloon period
Consider if
  • Buying or refinancing a home and planning on owning for longer than 10 years
  • Buying second home
  • Refinancing to build equity
  • Paying off mortgage before life event (retirement, etc)
  • Buying a home and expect to move before fixed period ends, or know income will rise to offset payment risk, even in worst-case scenario
  • Buying or refinancing when income can handle frequent payment changes and worst-case scenario for rates over a four-year period
  • Buying a home and expect to move before balloon period ends, or have resources to pay off mortgage if refinance not available
When shopping, ask about
  • "Full cost" vs. "No cost" refinances, prepaying loan to shorten term if desired
  • If 20-year term makes payment too high, whether 25-year term is available
  • Interest rate caps, for first and subsequent adjustments, worst-case scenario
  • A history of the Index the loan is keyed off, margin and caps
  • Whether or not there is any built-in refinancing option when the balloon period ends
Useful tools & resources

Latest Mortgage Rate Analysis

HSH's longer-range outlook for mortgage rates, where we review our last forecast,discuss current market influences and provide our expectations for mortgage rates over the next nine weeks.

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