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About 25% of the top 400 metro areas saw lower home values in the second quarter, double last year's number. Is yours one of them? See HSH.com's Home Value Tracker.

About 25% of the top 400 metro areas saw lower home values in the second quarter, double last year's number. Is yours one of them? See HSH.com's Home Value Tracker.

Today's Mortgage Rates - 09/11/2025

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Additional Rate Retreat

The downtrend for mortgage rates continued this week.

Freddie Mac reported today that the average offered interest rate for a conforming 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) declined by another fifteen basis points (0.15%) to 6.35%, a ten-moth low. The most popular mortgage type and term has declined by four tenths of a percentage point (0.40%) over the last eight weeks.

The average offered rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgage also stepped lower, posting a ten basis point (0.10%) decline of its own, landing at 5.50%, a level last seen in mid-October 2024.

An alternative to the 30-year fixed rate mortgage, the average offered rate for a 5-year hybrid ARM eased an amount in between its fixed-rate counterparts. The Mortgage Bankers Association said that the initial fixed interest rate on a hybrid 5-year ARM decreased by thirteen basis points (0.13%) to 5.77%,

Currently, a 5/1 ARM might offer a homebuyer a lower-cost alternative to a long-term fixed-rate mortgage, although the difference in rate between 30-year FRMs and 5-year hybrid ARMs narrowed slightly this week. With the change in rates, the gap in rate compared to a 30-year FRM is now 60 basis points (0.58%). Comparing this average rate against one for a 30-year FRM, a homebuyer with a $300,000 loan amount who selects the 5-year ARM would have a monthly payment that is $112.18 lower, will spend $8,716 less in interest cost and pay off an additional $1,985 in principal over the first five years of the loan compared to a 30-year fixed rate loan.

ARMs aren't for everybody, though. To help decide whether one might work for you, read HSH's Comprehensive Guide to Adjustable Rate Mortgages.

The more recent data on the labor markets -- and revisions to hiring during the period between April 2024 and March 2025 -- is soft enough to virtually guarantee that the Fed will be cutting rates next week. While a quarter-percentage-point move is expected, at least some speculators think that a half-point move may be on the table.

More important than what the Fed does next week is what it says about where monetary policy is likely to go over the remainder of this year and well into 2026. Financial markets are now expecting to see a series of rate cuts, perhaps as many as three yet year and more to follow. What happens with inflation and labor markets over the next few months will dictate the pace of future cuts, if any.

As is often the case, long-term yields and mortgage rates have moved down before the Fed has made any move at all. Presently, there does appear to yet be some downward pressure on long-term rates, so mortgage rates may ease a bit more yet over the next couple of days. After that, what the Fed indicates may either enhance or revert the move.

Each week in HSH's MarketTrends newsletter, we track and discuss economic conditions that affect mortgage rates and their impact on housing markets and consumers. Read the most recent edition of MarketTrends or subscribe for email delivery.

Week 30-year-Fixed 15-year-Fixed
09/11 6.350% 5.500%
09/04 6.500% 5.600%
08/28 6.560% 5.690%
08/21 6.580% 5.690%
08/14 6.580% 5.710%
08/07 6.630% 5.750%
07/31 6.720% 5.850%
07/24 6.740% 5.870%
07/17 6.750% 5.920%
07/10 6.720% 5.860%
07/03 6.670% 5.800%
06/26 6.770% 5.890%

Mortgage Choices at a Glance

Loan type/terms Fixed 30 years Fixed 15 years/
20 Years
Hybrid ARM Traditional ARM Balloon Mortgage
Rate changes
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Usually after fixed period of 3, 5, 7 or 10 years
  • After that, annual change typical
  • Fully variable
  • Typically changing at one-year intervals
  • Some have shorter change intervals
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
Benefits
  • Low, stable payment
  • Usually easiest qualification
  • Stable payments
  • Builds equity faster
  • Lower total interest costs than 30-year term
  • Lower rates than fully fixed-rate mortgage
  • Can sometimes borrow larger loan amount for same income
  • Can have lowest interest rates
  • Qualification may not depend upon today's interest rate
  • Often has lower interest rate/monthly payment over balloon period than fixed rate
  • Similar to hybrid ARM
Drawbacks/Risks
  • Can have highest total interest cost over time
  • User may "buy" more rate stability than actually needed, increasing cost
  • Requires higher income to qualify
  • Less affordable monthly payment
  • Funds commited to payment cannot be used elsewhere
  • Stable payment for a number of years, then unpredictable
  • Rates can jump by as much as 6 percentage points at first adjustment
  • Payments fluctuate at each rate change
  • Unpredictable, rates can change as much as 2 percentage points at each adjustment
  • Loan fully due and payable when balloon period ends
  • Must be paid off or refinanced in unknown market conditions
Alternative strategy
  • Consider Hybrid ARM with appropriate fixed period
  • Consider 30-year term and prepaying loan to preserve cash-flow flexibility
  • Consider Fixed rate mortgage or longest possible fixed period, if loan hold period not known
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ameliorate rate and payment risks for a given period
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ensure continued loan availability
These may be useful for...
  • Purchasing a home
  • First-time homebuyers
  • Refinancing to improve cash flow/lower payment
  • Refinancing to lower total interest cost
  • Retiring mortgage more quickly
  • Building or rebuilding equity more quickly
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is seven years or shorter, and where borrower can handle increase in monthly payments
  • Purchasing or refinancing when interest rates are near top of cycle, and are likely to fall, or sale or refinance is anticipated within three years
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is three years or longer and home will be sold prior to end of balloon period
Consider if
  • Buying or refinancing a home and planning on owning for longer than 10 years
  • Buying second home
  • Refinancing to build equity
  • Paying off mortgage before life event (retirement, etc)
  • Buying a home and expect to move before fixed period ends, or know income will rise to offset payment risk, even in worst-case scenario
  • Buying or refinancing when income can handle frequent payment changes and worst-case scenario for rates over a four-year period
  • Buying a home and expect to move before balloon period ends, or have resources to pay off mortgage if refinance not available
When shopping, ask about
  • "Full cost" vs. "No cost" refinances, prepaying loan to shorten term if desired
  • If 20-year term makes payment too high, whether 25-year term is available
  • Interest rate caps, for first and subsequent adjustments, worst-case scenario
  • A history of the Index the loan is keyed off, margin and caps
  • Whether or not there is any built-in refinancing option when the balloon period ends
Useful tools & resources

Latest Mortgage Rate Analysis

HSH's longer-range outlook for mortgage rates, where we review our last forecast,discuss current market influences and provide our expectations for mortgage rates over the next nine weeks.

Mortgage Calculators

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