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31 metro areas saw lower home values in the first quarter of 2025 compared to a year ago. What's happening in your area? See HSH.com's Home Value Tracker.

31 metro areas saw lower home values in the first quarter of 2025 compared to a year ago. What's happening in your area? See HSH.com's Home Value Tracker.

Today's Mortgage Rates - 06/19/2025

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Mortgage Rates Ease As Fed Holds

While stable mortgage rates are generally a good thing, that they are holding at elevated level is rather less good.

Freddie Mac reported today that the average offered interest rate for a conforming 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) declined by just three basis points (0.03%) to 6.81%. returning to where it was in mid-May, and before that, late April, and just a few basis points below where it was a year ago.

Average offered rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by the barest possible amount, easing by just one basis point (0.01%) to drift to 5.96%. Over the last 10 weeks, this rate has wandered in just a nine basis point range.

At present, a 5/1 ARM might offer a homebuyer a lower-cost alternative to a long-term fixed-rate mortgage, and the difference in rate between 30-year FRMs and 5-year hybrid ARMs improved a little this week. The Mortgage Bankers Association said that the initial fixed interest rate on a hybrid 5-year ARM managed a 12 basis point decline, retreating to 6.10%. This improved the gap in rate compared to a 30-year FRM to seventy-one basis points (0.71%), offering homebuyers a chance at some interest savings over the next five years. To learn more about ARMs, you should read HSH's Comprehensive Guide to Adjustable Rate Mortgages.

Still waiting for more clarity as to the effects of changes to trade and other policies, the Federal Reserve held rates steady again at their meeting this week. While uncertainty over the impact of tariffs remains high, it has diminished somewhat as negotiations with major trading partners are ongoing.

The Fed still expects to cut rates one or perhaps two times before the end of the year, but is also forecasting slower economic growth and a modest increase in unemployment. Of course, the the Fed doesn't control mortgage rates; rather, it is worries about potential inflation, U.S. budget deficits and record debt issuance that are serving to keep them are elevated levels, factors beyond the Fed's control.

Next week, we'll learn more about how much elevated home financing rates have affected the spring housing market when information on sales of both new and existing homes for May are released. While there's plenty of upheaval and uncertainty here and around the world, it seems fairly certain that mortgage rates will move little again in the coming few days.

Each week in HSH's MarketTrends newsletter, we track and discuss economic conditions that affect mortgage rates and their impact on housing markets and consumers. Read the most recent edition of MarketTrends or subscribe for email delivery.

Week 30-year-Fixed 15-year-Fixed
06/18 6.810% 5.960%
06/12 6.840% 5.970%
06/05 6.850% 5.990%
05/29 6.890% 6.030%
05/22 6.860% 6.010%
05/15 6.810% 5.920%
05/08 6.760% 5.890%
05/01 6.760% 5.920%
04/24 6.810% 5.940%
04/17 6.830% 6.030%
04/10 6.620% 5.820%
04/03 6.640% 5.820%

Mortgage Choices at a Glance

Loan type/terms Fixed 30 years Fixed 15 years/
20 Years
Hybrid ARM Traditional ARM Balloon Mortgage
Rate changes
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Usually after fixed period of 3, 5, 7 or 10 years
  • After that, annual change typical
  • Fully variable
  • Typically changing at one-year intervals
  • Some have shorter change intervals
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
Benefits
  • Low, stable payment
  • Usually easiest qualification
  • Stable payments
  • Builds equity faster
  • Lower total interest costs than 30-year term
  • Lower rates than fully fixed-rate mortgage
  • Can sometimes borrow larger loan amount for same income
  • Can have lowest interest rates
  • Qualification may not depend upon today's interest rate
  • Often has lower interest rate/monthly payment over balloon period than fixed rate
  • Similar to hybrid ARM
Drawbacks/Risks
  • Can have highest total interest cost over time
  • User may "buy" more rate stability than actually needed, increasing cost
  • Requires higher income to qualify
  • Less affordable monthly payment
  • Funds commited to payment cannot be used elsewhere
  • Stable payment for a number of years, then unpredictable
  • Rates can jump by as much as 6 percentage points at first adjustment
  • Payments fluctuate at each rate change
  • Unpredictable, rates can change as much as 2 percentage points at each adjustment
  • Loan fully due and payable when balloon period ends
  • Must be paid off or refinanced in unknown market conditions
Alternative strategy
  • Consider Hybrid ARM with appropriate fixed period
  • Consider 30-year term and prepaying loan to preserve cash-flow flexibility
  • Consider Fixed rate mortgage or longest possible fixed period, if loan hold period not known
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ameliorate rate and payment risks for a given period
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ensure continued loan availability
These may be useful for...
  • Purchasing a home
  • First-time homebuyers
  • Refinancing to improve cash flow/lower payment
  • Refinancing to lower total interest cost
  • Retiring mortgage more quickly
  • Building or rebuilding equity more quickly
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is seven years or shorter, and where borrower can handle increase in monthly payments
  • Purchasing or refinancing when interest rates are near top of cycle, and are likely to fall, or sale or refinance is anticipated within three years
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is three years or longer and home will be sold prior to end of balloon period
Consider if
  • Buying or refinancing a home and planning on owning for longer than 10 years
  • Buying second home
  • Refinancing to build equity
  • Paying off mortgage before life event (retirement, etc)
  • Buying a home and expect to move before fixed period ends, or know income will rise to offset payment risk, even in worst-case scenario
  • Buying or refinancing when income can handle frequent payment changes and worst-case scenario for rates over a four-year period
  • Buying a home and expect to move before balloon period ends, or have resources to pay off mortgage if refinance not available
When shopping, ask about
  • "Full cost" vs. "No cost" refinances, prepaying loan to shorten term if desired
  • If 20-year term makes payment too high, whether 25-year term is available
  • Interest rate caps, for first and subsequent adjustments, worst-case scenario
  • A history of the Index the loan is keyed off, margin and caps
  • Whether or not there is any built-in refinancing option when the balloon period ends
Useful tools & resources

Latest Mortgage Rate Analysis

HSH's longer-range outlook for mortgage rates, where we review our last forecast,discuss current market influences and provide our expectations for mortgage rates over the next nine weeks.

Mortgage Calculators

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