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31 metro areas saw lower home values in the first quarter of 2025 compared to a year ago. What's happening in your area? See HSH.com's Home Value Tracker.

31 metro areas saw lower home values in the first quarter of 2025 compared to a year ago. What's happening in your area? See HSH.com's Home Value Tracker.

Today's Mortgage Rates - 06/27/2025

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Slight Slide For Mortgage Rates

Fixed-rate mortgage rates drifted lower again this week, retreating to early-May levels.

As reported by Freddie Mac today, the average offered interest rate for a conforming 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) declined by another four basis points (0.04%) to 6.77%.. This rate has moved very little since mid-April, and is modestly below year-ago levels.

Average offered rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by a bit more, managing a seven basis point decrease. This left the average rate for the most popular shorter-term mortgage at 5.89%, a seven-week low.

At present, a 5/1 ARM might offer a homebuyer a lower-cost alternative to a long-term fixed-rate mortgage, but the difference in rate between 30-year FRMs and 5-year hybrid ARMs narrowed a little this week. The Mortgage Bankers Association said that the initial fixed interest rate on a hybrid 5-year ARM increased by six basis points, rising to 6.16%. the middle of a range that has been in place since the week of May 16.

With the increase, the gap in rate compared to a 30-year FRM was pared to sixty-one basis points (0.61%), offering homebuyers a chance at some interest savings of about $9,200 over the next five years with a $300,000 loan amount. To learn more about ARMs, you should read HSH's Comprehensive Guide to Adjustable Rate Mortgages.

Financial markets have been holding up well since the U.S. military incursion into Iran. A brokered cease-fire between Israel and Iran seems to be holding, equity prices have been generally rising and bond yields falling. Amidst this, Fed Chair Powell gave his semi-annual monetary policy report before Congress, reiterating the Fed's unwillingness to lower policy rates until the impact of still-unknown tariff levels are better understood.

It is not clear when increases in costs will begin to be seen, but we will get an updated look at PCE price inflation for May on Friday. Fed Chair Powell noted that estimates based on CPI and other observations peg overall PCE at a 2.3% rate and core PCE prices at a 2.6% annual clip. Should those early estimations prove true, this would be a 0.2% and 0.1% increase in PCE measures, respectively. That's probably not enough to disturb the very flat trend for interest rates in general and for mortgage rates in specific.

That said, the calendar turns again on Tuesday, bringing with it additional consequential information regarding the labor market. Until then, and at least for the next couple of days, mortgage rates aren't likely to move very much at all.

Each week in HSH's MarketTrends newsletter, we track and discuss economic conditions that affect mortgage rates and their impact on housing markets and consumers. Read the most recent edition of MarketTrends or subscribe for email delivery.

Week 30-year-Fixed 15-year-Fixed
06/26 6.770% 5.890%
06/18 6.810% 5.960%
06/12 6.840% 5.970%
06/05 6.850% 5.990%
05/29 6.890% 6.030%
05/22 6.860% 6.010%
05/15 6.810% 5.920%
05/08 6.760% 5.890%
05/01 6.760% 5.920%
04/24 6.810% 5.940%
04/17 6.830% 6.030%
04/10 6.620% 5.820%

Mortgage Choices at a Glance

Loan type/terms Fixed 30 years Fixed 15 years/
20 Years
Hybrid ARM Traditional ARM Balloon Mortgage
Rate changes
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
  • Usually after fixed period of 3, 5, 7 or 10 years
  • After that, annual change typical
  • Fully variable
  • Typically changing at one-year intervals
  • Some have shorter change intervals
  • Never; Fully fixed for entire term
Benefits
  • Low, stable payment
  • Usually easiest qualification
  • Stable payments
  • Builds equity faster
  • Lower total interest costs than 30-year term
  • Lower rates than fully fixed-rate mortgage
  • Can sometimes borrow larger loan amount for same income
  • Can have lowest interest rates
  • Qualification may not depend upon today's interest rate
  • Often has lower interest rate/monthly payment over balloon period than fixed rate
  • Similar to hybrid ARM
Drawbacks/Risks
  • Can have highest total interest cost over time
  • User may "buy" more rate stability than actually needed, increasing cost
  • Requires higher income to qualify
  • Less affordable monthly payment
  • Funds commited to payment cannot be used elsewhere
  • Stable payment for a number of years, then unpredictable
  • Rates can jump by as much as 6 percentage points at first adjustment
  • Payments fluctuate at each rate change
  • Unpredictable, rates can change as much as 2 percentage points at each adjustment
  • Loan fully due and payable when balloon period ends
  • Must be paid off or refinanced in unknown market conditions
Alternative strategy
  • Consider Hybrid ARM with appropriate fixed period
  • Consider 30-year term and prepaying loan to preserve cash-flow flexibility
  • Consider Fixed rate mortgage or longest possible fixed period, if loan hold period not known
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ameliorate rate and payment risks for a given period
  • Consider Hybrid ARM to ensure continued loan availability
These may be useful for...
  • Purchasing a home
  • First-time homebuyers
  • Refinancing to improve cash flow/lower payment
  • Refinancing to lower total interest cost
  • Retiring mortgage more quickly
  • Building or rebuilding equity more quickly
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is seven years or shorter, and where borrower can handle increase in monthly payments
  • Purchasing or refinancing when interest rates are near top of cycle, and are likely to fall, or sale or refinance is anticipated within three years
  • Purchasing or refinancing when time horizon is three years or longer and home will be sold prior to end of balloon period
Consider if
  • Buying or refinancing a home and planning on owning for longer than 10 years
  • Buying second home
  • Refinancing to build equity
  • Paying off mortgage before life event (retirement, etc)
  • Buying a home and expect to move before fixed period ends, or know income will rise to offset payment risk, even in worst-case scenario
  • Buying or refinancing when income can handle frequent payment changes and worst-case scenario for rates over a four-year period
  • Buying a home and expect to move before balloon period ends, or have resources to pay off mortgage if refinance not available
When shopping, ask about
  • "Full cost" vs. "No cost" refinances, prepaying loan to shorten term if desired
  • If 20-year term makes payment too high, whether 25-year term is available
  • Interest rate caps, for first and subsequent adjustments, worst-case scenario
  • A history of the Index the loan is keyed off, margin and caps
  • Whether or not there is any built-in refinancing option when the balloon period ends
Useful tools & resources

Latest Mortgage Rate Analysis

HSH's longer-range outlook for mortgage rates, where we review our last forecast,discuss current market influences and provide our expectations for mortgage rates over the next nine weeks.

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